Bluefield, West Virginia 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

581
FXUS61 KRNK 182355
AFDRNK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
755 PM EDT Thu Jun 18 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
A flood watch continues for parts of the forecast area along
stalled outflow boundary which will interact with moisture from
Post-tropical cyclone Arthur.

Aviation updated.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are expected
through the overnight hours. Localized flooding is possible.

2) Dry weekend followed by more chances for showers/storms
early next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1: Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are
expected through the overnight hours. Localized flooding is
possible.

The overall severe wind threat seems to be waning now with the
loss of daytime heating. Plus the airmass has been worked over
form so much convection. We have transitioned to a flooding
threat at this point with training storms.

Outflow from morning storms is now running west to east
along and just south of the NC/VA border. Highest confidence
for rain will be along this boundary this evening with potential
for enhanced rainfall tonight along this same boundary as the
remnants of a tropical low passes by to our south. Actual
passage of the surface cold front, which is still to our
northwest, will likely be delayed until late tonight or early
Friday.

A northward surge of tropical moisture is expected as the
remnants of TS Arthur moves across the southeast states. This is
expected to enhance the rainfall rates along the existing
boundary over or near our forecast area with the southern CWA
being the favored area for moderate to heavy rain late tonight
and early Friday. Rain amounts of 0.50 to 1.50 are expected
within the watch area with localized amounts of 2 to 3 inches
but these higher amounts falling in a short period of time. This
may result in poor drainage flooding or flash flooding of small
streams, but it would take a lot more than 3 inches to cause
any issues on the larger streams or rivers, so little or no
concern for the rivers.

Chose to end the flood watch in the west by 2AM per drying that
should take place on the back side of the front. The front is
expected to clear the southeast part of the CWA (piedmont
counties) by 10AM Friday, leading to a drying trend for the
piedmont by midday Friday with clearing skies for the entire CWA
for Friday afternoon leading into the weekend.


KEY MESSAGE 2: Dry weekend but more storm chances early next
week.

High pressure follows the front Saturday into Sunday. Models
agree on a broad trough over the Great Lakes into the mid-MS
Valley heading into Monday swinging through the mountains early
next week. This feature with the front and good moisture
advection should provide another opportunity for showers and
storms, but like previous systems, fronts that come from the
northwest favor the mountains (esp western slopes) for rainfall
and to a much lesser extent east of the mountains.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms continue through
the overnight hours. Currently seeing mostly VFR ceilings, but
these will drop to MVFR between 04 and 06Z for all terminals
with more of a light rain and less of a thunder threat. Between
05-09Z we will see more drizzle and some dense fog with LIFR
and IFR ceilings across the entire area. Rain should end around
13-15Z and we will see ceilings and visibilities improve to VFR
by 16-17Z.

WSW winds become NW by tomorrow morning behind a frontal
passage. Overnight, speeds will be less than 5 kts outside of
any gusty showers. Speeds increase to 9-12 kts tomorrow with
gusts to 20-25 kts.

EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...

Mainly VFR conditions are expected for the weekend.
Isolated to scattered showers/storms may return to the
mountains Sunday afternoon, with increasing chances into Monday
with area of sub-VFR cigs/vsbys expected.

Other sub-VFR possibilities may be some late night/early morning
mountain valley/river fog during the weekend.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...Flood Watch until 2 AM EDT Friday for VAZ007-009>013-015-016.
     Flood Watch through Friday morning for VAZ032-043-044-058.
NC...Flood Watch until 2 AM EDT Friday for NCZ001-002.
     Flood Watch through Friday morning for NCZ003>006-018>020.
WV...Flood Watch until 2 AM EDT Friday for WVZ042.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...PM/SH
AVIATION...PM/SH